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Friday, October 30, 2015

Peace, Love, & Bernie: Was #BernieOrBust Created By Republican Campaign Strategists?

Was #BernieOrBust Created By Republican Campaign Strategists?

The "Bernie Or Bust" movement purports to "Revolt against plutocracy" by writing Bernie in on your ballot in the general election in the event that Bernie doesn't succeed in becoming the Democratic nominee for President of the United States.

Before anyone gets the idea here that I am pushing them to vote for Hillary Clinton in the event that she takes the nomination, I am NOT. There IS a better alternative than writing in Bernie should Hillary be nominated. I will go into what that alternative is, and why writing in Bernie if he is not the Democratic nominee is pointless and something the Republicans and Plutocrats would love. I will state here that I myself cannot stomach the idea of voting for another Corporatist, and that is exactly what I see Hillary as.

Now that we have that out of the way, I will discuss why I suspect that "Bernie or BUST" is an idea created by Republican trollsters.

I was an elected Democratic Precinct Committeeman in York Township precinct 112, DuPage county, Illinois for three years. (2011-2014) I did this for several reasons:

  1. DuPage county, IL was dominated by Republicans in-office.
  2. I had no idea how local politics, or State-level politics in IL actually worked and wanted to learn.
  3. I wanted to help get Progressives elected in Illinois.
*NOTE: Terminology of the office "Precinct Committeeman" is written in Illinois State law, and not some sexism on my part. A woman would've had the same title, and quite a few did. 

Prior to taking on getting elected as a PC, I was involved with the Illinois Dennis Kucinich campaign of 2004 in writing letters to the editors of  local newspapers. When Dennis failed to be nominated by the Democratic party, the remnants of his campaign formed a grass-roots organization called Progressive Democrats of America. (The link to the left is the article on PDA at Wikipedia. PDA's site is at http://www.pdamerica.org/ )

This organization (PDA) is NOT affiliated with the Democratic party. It attempts to get Progressives elected as Democrats because getting candidates on the ballot as either a Democrat or a Republican requires far less voter signatures on ballot petitions than most States require of any other party.

Getting a candidate's name on the ballot can be as different as needing notarized petition signatures from 5,000 voters for a Democrat or Republican vs. 50,000 notarized signatures for ANY other party. Also, those signatures must come from registered voters, not just anyone. On top of that, party officials from any opposing party have a habit of legally challenging any petition signatures with the Election Commission, so if the requirement is 5,000 signatures, you want to get 10,000 so you can defeat any opponent's petition challenge. If the rquirement is 50,000 - get 100,000 or your candidate may not even appear on the ballot. (Note: The base number of petition signatures required varies by office. Since a Precinct Committeeman was only slightly higher than dog poop in the party, and not paid one cent, the base requirement was I believe 20 signatures, so I tried for 40. The numbers above would be something like a US House seat.)

Granted, the numbers I am referencing above are governed by State law, and are for the State of Illinois, but it's not so different in most other States. When you see that, it tells you a lot about how the game is rigged in favor of the status quo at all levels.

The two main points there are that A) I learned about this kind of thing from becoming the most basic officer a party has in Illinois - Precinct Committeeman - and B) PDA is NOT an arm or the Democratic party, they just realize they face less futility by trying to change it from inside the rigged rules.

I also served as the leader of a smaller group of grass-roots activists called Progressive Democrats of Illinois, who were a fantastic bunch of folk that I still count as friends, and that brought me around to becoming a PC. I did that from 2004-2012 and didn't get too awful far.

One of the things that I learned by being a Precinct Committeeman was that in order for a write-in vote to count, the person whose name is being written in MUST file with the Election Commission in each county, and by the legal deadline, with all the required NON-MAJOR-PARTY registered voter petition signatures, to be a valid write-in candidate. Their name wouldn't be on the ballot, a blank would. However, if you write in Mickey Mouse, ha ha, it doesn't count. Only writing in the name of a candidate who has met all the legal requirements to be a valid write-in candidate is counted as a vote. Any other write-in is counted as a "no-vote" for that particular office on the voter's ballot. (Also known as an "undervote," like they missed checking off anything for that particular office.)

Granted, the rules for write-in candidates are governed by State law, and in some cases a State may even leave it to a County, but the number of jusrisdictions where a vote for an un-filed write-in candidate is counted as valid in a national election such as the Presidency (Or Congress) of the USA is probably the equivalent of a toddler pissing in an olympic-sized swimming pool.

The point here is that, if you write in Bernie's name in the event of a Hillary nomination, you are in about the same position of that toddler peeing in the pool, unless Bernie and his campaign do all the filing work NATIONALLY to get him registered as a write-in candidate. If you don't believe me, feel free to check the election laws in your particular State.

Now, I realize that if you've read this far, the subject likely matters to you, and you're not going to be voting for Hillary if Bernie's not the nominee, regardless of what anyone says. Guess what? I'm right there with you. I wouldn't either. So here is where that alternative I mentioned comes in.

I am proposing that, in the event Hillary is nominated, (An I think I'm wasting my time writing this, 'cause Bernie gonna win!!) we turn around and vote for the likely Green party candidate, Dr. Jill Stein. I am calling this strategy #BernieOrGreen2016.

A Green Party USA platform would be so close to Bernie's that most of you won't find major differences. A vote for the Green nominee would actually count. It would also count towards making it easier for highly-Progressive Greens to get on the ballot nationally. You see, if you get enough of a percentage of the vote in one election, many States elevate your party to major party status in the next election. In that case, you have the same petition requirements as the Dems or Repubs. If you want to do a protest vote that reflects your Progressive values and will actually stick a needle in the butts of the "major party" corporatists, #BernieOrGreen2016 would actually matter.

If enough people adhered to that strategy, very, very loudly, you might pull those holding their noses and looking at HRC into putting their intention toward something they can be proud of.

Wasting God-knows-how-many votes that wouldn't count vs. helping more Progressives get access to the ballot or even actually getting one elected. Hmm. Let me chew on that one...

#BernieOrBust seems to me designed to siphon off Progressive votes like piss down the toilet if Hillary is nominated, thereby helping hand the Presidency to the Republican candidate. (*Shudder*) #BernieOrGreen2016 would actually do something for Progressives. It's still a big risk, but a lot better one than wasting votes altogether, or not voting.

But first, I AM VOTING FOR BERNIE in the Democratic primaries this time. Because #Bernie GonnaWin - and I will have just wasted an hour writing this blog post, and be happy as a progressive clam.

Peace, Love, and Bernie, and to quote the Summer of Love generation that came before me, can you dig it?

Dan Stafford


10 comments:

  1. The next POTUS will likely have 3 seats on the SCOTUS to fill. This is Bernie or Green is simply FAR too dangerous to risk for this reason. Should the GOP take the Presidency, you would see profound implications for the majority, as a result of the severe lurch right, seismic changes in the fundamental social contract in our nation. That should be our primary focus.

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  2. Given the number of "Bernie Or Bust" posts I'm seeing in Bernie groups, with at least a third of the Bernie supporters I see online being ADAMANT that they will not vote for Hillary Clinton under any circumstances, they instead plan to write Bernie in on their ballots - well, me talking about #BernieOrGreen2016 - since I'm the one who coined that hashtag - is nothing. I am a lone voice in the wilderness. Neither the Bernie Or Bust people nor people with the Any Dem That's Nominated are paying any attention. If Bernie is not nominated, it is going to be a disaster. A fair number of Bernie supporters would vote Green, and an even larger number will waste their votes and write Bernie in, not knowing that the write-in won't count. I am desperately trying to wake Dems up to this mess. And I am done. No one wants to hear it. I'm better off trying to get Bernie nominated - but mark my words, if he's not, there is a debacle in the making here.

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    Replies
    1. RAP knows that writing in Bernie will be wasted voted, and you're right. If Bernie is not the nominee, it's going to be a debacle next year for the Democrats. RAP will be making every effort to convey this to Democrats next year. #BernieOrBust = #BernieOrElse the GOP. The point of this is to sway (with fear) voters into supporting Bernie.

      https://citizensagainstplutocracy.wordpress.com/2015/11/30/how-rap-will-tell-democrats-to-unitebehindbernie/

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    2. Dan, one of our current ads say "either write in Bernie Sanders or vote Green Party next year.

      https://youtu.be/tQOPRV-s0tY

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  3. Thanks for the post...makes a lot of sense.

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  4. I think writing Bernie in is more of a protest against the DNC. As in "your fault, you should have nominated Bernie". Never heard anyone suggest the votes would be counted.

    With that being said, I also think #BernieOrBust is more about leverage for the nomination. We are telling the DNC now that only Bernie gets our vote. I also think the "bust" part reflects the notion that if we don't reverse from plutocracy now and elect the only person without corporate ties, then this country is toast.

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    Replies
    1. And you can bet that the Greens aren't getting corporate donations much. Their platform probably looks a lot like Bernie's. Thanks for taking the time to comment, BTW. It raises a good discussion.

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  5. Amie, believe me that I get the sentiment. But there is every bit as much leverage in threatening to vote Green en-masse if Hillary is nominated, because there will be a real candidate for those votes to go to. If a large enough number of people were to make it known, LOUDLY, that they will vote Green in the event of a Hillary nomination, a large number of Hillary supporters who are not really thrilled with voting for her may come along with that vote and render the Dems a minor party. Threatening to write in for Bernie when he isn't filed as a write-in just means that the same crowd who didn't show up in the last election would not have their votes counted in this one, which leaves the status quo and corporatism intact.

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  6. First, the write-in idea comes from a conversation on a street corner between to peace activists. It's not a Republican idea.

    Next, RAPs strategy is to have voters take a pledge to write-in Bernie or vote Green. The idea is to build a movement of American voters who will NOT vote for ANY corporate-oriented, Wall Street-backed Democrats. This could lead to a stronger Green Party, an Independent Party or a new, progressive Democratic Party.

    Finally, the pledge strategy is going to be used for the purpose of telling Democrats next year that they have to support Bernie or else the GOP will win the General Election. It is, primarily, a primary season strategy to make Bernie Sanders the nominee whether the corrupt Democratic Party elites like it or not. Amie has it almost correct. We're not just telling the DNC that only Bernie gets our vote; we're telling low-information #CorporateClinton supporters that the Donald will be the next President if they don't #UniteBehindBernie.

    What if this doesn't work? Write in Bernie or vote Green will be RAP's recommendation to pledge-takers. RAP is not a Party, and cannot exert party discipline on the pledge-takers.

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    Replies
    1. I would find it more credible to push for those votes to go to the Green Party than a write-in, but at least the "either-or" language makes some sense. Some of those voters wouldn't vote Green either, because they don't realize that the Greens are basically for the same things Bernie is.

      I am seriously hoping that this entire discussion is moot after the Primaries.

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